Florida St
W-L: (11-20) PR = 94.8262Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) **-39 1106 A Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 80-72 1109 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 67-99 1112 A Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 89-64 1116 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 72-76 1120 H Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 67-89 1123 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 63-86 1128 A Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 85-75 1130 H Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 91-** 1203 H Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 60-80 1207 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 58-93 1214 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 70-75 1218 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 54-79 1220 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 89-41 101 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 72-82 104 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) **-91 111 H Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 73-89 115 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 69-65 118 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 55-82 122 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 73-51 125 H Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 69-80 201 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 58-77 205 H NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 55-83 208 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 87-70 212 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 85-76 215 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 65-88 219 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 62-75 222 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 61-77 226 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 52-80 301 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 77-74 304 H Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 60-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Florida A&M **-39 73 3 0.00
1106 A Georgia So 80-72 8 0 + 2.44
1109 H Connecticut 67-99 -32 -5 0.00
1112 A Nicholls 89-64 25 2 0.00
1116 H Indiana 72-76 -4 -1 -0.75
1120 H Florida 67-89 -22 -1 -1.05
1123 H Illinois 63-86 -23 -2 -0.13
1128 A Missouri St 85-75 10 0 1.84
1130 H Oklahoma 91-** -18 -3 0.00
1203 H Georgia 60-80 -20 -2 -0.06
1207 H Notre Dame 58-93 -35 -2 0.00
1214 H Charlotte 70-75 -5 1 - -2.51
1218 H Va Tech 54-79 -25 -1 -0.56
1220 A SC St 89-41 48 4 0.00
101 H Syracuse 72-82 -10 -2 -0.35
104 H Virginia **-91 13 -1 + 3.29
111 H Miami (Fl) 73-89 -16 -1 -1.21
115 A Pittsburgh 69-65 4 2 0.15
118 H No Carolina 55-82 -27 -3 0.00
122 A SMU 73-51 22 1 0.95
125 H Georgia Tech 69-80 -11 0 -1.67
201 H Clemson 58-77 -19 -1 -0.76
205 H NC State 55-83 -28 -2 -0.21
208 A Miami (Fl) 87-70 17 -1 + 2.81
212 A Boston Col 85-76 9 2 0.06
215 H Louisville 65-88 -23 -3 0.00
219 H California 62-75 -13 -1 -0.92
222 H Stanford 61-77 -16 -1 -1.10
226 H Duke 52-80 -28 -3 0.00
301 A Wake Forest 77-74 3 1 1.42
304 H Georgia Tech 60-72 -12 0 -1.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1214 H Charlotte 70-75 -5 1 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1106 A Georgia So 80-72 8 0 + 2.44 104 H Virginia **-91 13 -1 + 3.29 208 A Miami (Fl) 87-70 17 -1 + 2.81 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) **-39 -8.23 2.73 0.01 0.98 5.37
3 A Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 80-72 -4.64 6.32 0.01 0.98 12.39
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 67-99 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.98 -0.28
3 A Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 89-64 -7.27 3.69 0.01 0.98 7.25
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 72-76 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 0.98 -1.87
3 H Florida (18-15, 95.8) 67-89 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.98 -2.02
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 63-86 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 0.98 -1.57
3 A Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 85-75 -5.24 5.72 0.01 0.98 11.22
3 H Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 91-** -2.14 8.82 -0.01 0.98 -1.05
3 H Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 60-80 -3.13 7.83 -0.01 0.98 -1.54
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 58-93 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.98 -1.37
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 70-75 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 54-79 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 0.98 -1.78
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 89-41 -9.50 1.46 0.01 0.98 2.88
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 72-82 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.98 -1.67
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) **-91 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 0.98 14.06
3 H Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 73-89 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 0.98 -2.10
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 69-65 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.98 7.90
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 55-82 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.98 -1.22
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 73-51 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.98 9.46
3 H Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 69-80 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.98 -2.32
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 58-77 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.98 -1.87
3 H NC State (21-11, 96.6) 55-83 -3.27 7.69 -0.01 0.98 -1.61
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 87-70 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.98 13.11
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 85-76 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.98 7.73
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 65-88 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.98 -1.17
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 62-75 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 0.98 -1.96
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 61-77 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 0.98 -2.05
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 52-80 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.98 -1.13
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 77-74 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.98 10.39
3 H Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 60-72 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.98 -2.32
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68.13
|
winning pts = 101.7643 losing points = -33.6316
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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